Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 0
AVA
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
REM
4 - 1
VIL
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 1
GAM
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |