Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
XVD
0 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
UNI
3 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
4 - 0
MOG
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOT
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
NAU
3 - 2
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NAU
2 - 2
AMF
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
NAU
0 - 2
AVA
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |