Vila Nova vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 4
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
ANA
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
APA
1 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
GOI
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
4%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |