Vila Nova vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
CRA
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAN
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |