Vila Nova vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.4%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
18%
25%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOR
76%
18%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
INH
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 2
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LUV
2 - 1
INT
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LUV
1 - 1
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LUV
0 - 2
LTD
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
DBO
2 - 1
LUV
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
LUV
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |