Vila Nova vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 2
VIL
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 1
PAY
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
LUV
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 0
BRA
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |