Vila Nova vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANA
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEC
2 - 1
LUV
12%
24%
63%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 0
POC
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 3
MIX
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 1
LUV
15%
24%
62%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
POC
0 - 1
LUV
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |