Vila Nova vs Jataiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.7%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
JAT
0 - 1
VIL
8%
18%
75%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
INT
0 - 0
VIL
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
JAT
1 - 2
VIL
7%
17%
75%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 3
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 0
INH
87%
10%
2%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Jataiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
JAT
0 - 1
VIL
8%
18%
75%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
JAT
1 - 2
VIL
7%
17%
75%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
OVD
3 - 1
JAT
23%
22%
56%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
JAT
2 - 1
CRA
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GIO
0 - 3
JAT
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |