Vila Nova vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIL
23%
30%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 3
VIL
21%
29%
50%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
REM
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 0
SAN
17%
28%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
3 - 2
TRE
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
JAC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 1
PAY
18%
27%
55%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
JAC
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |