Vila Nova vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
IPO
0 - 1
VIL
8%
14%
78%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
APA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
5 - 1
VIL
11%
19%
71%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 3
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 1
IPO
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
GOI
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 3
ITU
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 3
ATL
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |