Vila Nova vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
LUV
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANA
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
APA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
GOI
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 0
ITU
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ITU
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |