Vila Nova vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPO
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 2
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
PPE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |