Vila Nova vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
62.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLU
15%
26%
59%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRI
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRB
83%
13%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |