Vila Nova vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
ANA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 2
CRA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |