Vila Nova vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
ITU
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
LUV
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
GOI
77%
17%
6%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
GOI
59%
24%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 1
CRA
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |