Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
IFC
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 4
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
4 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 3
FFL
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |