Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias analysis

Vila Nova Duque de Caxias
61 ELO 54
5% Tilt 5.2%
424º General ELO ranking 5722º
32º Country ELO ranking 224º
ELO win probability
62.5%
Vila Nova
21.8%
Draw
15.7%
Duque de Caxias

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
Vila Nova
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
Duque de Caxias
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vila Nova
-7%
-13%
Duque de Caxias

ELO progression

Vila Nova
Duque de Caxias
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vila Nova
Vila Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2009
SAO
São Caetano
3 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
64%
21%
15%
61 72 11 0
29 Aug. 2009
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 2
Ipatinga FC
IFC
38%
27%
35%
62 69 7 -1
26 Aug. 2009
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 2
Vila Nova
VIL
67%
21%
13%
61 75 14 +1
22 Aug. 2009
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 0
Brasiliense
BRA
29%
25%
46%
61 71 10 0
15 Aug. 2009
PAR
Paraná
3 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
52%
25%
24%
61 64 3 0

Matches

Duque de Caxias
Duque de Caxias
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2009
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
0 - 1
RB Bragantino
BRA
30%
27%
44%
55 67 12 0
29 Aug. 2009
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
54 68 14 +1
26 Aug. 2009
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
1 - 4
Campinense
CAM
61%
21%
18%
56 52 4 -2
22 Aug. 2009
PPE
Ponte Preta
4 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
57 72 15 -1
15 Aug. 2009
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
2 - 3
Figueirense
FFL
21%
26%
53%
57 76 19 0