Copa Verde Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Vila Nova vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATL
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
APA
66%
22%
13%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOI
28%
27%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
4 - 0
CUI
55%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
CUI
20%
27%
54%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
URO
0 - 1
CUI
10%
23%
68%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 1
LAN
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 0
URO
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |