Vila Nova vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
35.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
PPE
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
OPE
38%
31%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 1
PPE
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
CSA
32%
30%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSA
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |