Vila Nova vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
APA
0 - 1
VIL
22%
22%
57%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
GOI
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAU
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 0
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CRA
0 - 1
ANA
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CRA
3 - 1
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GIO
1 - 0
CRA
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
CRA
4 - 1
ANA
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |