Vila Nova vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
IFC
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 3
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 2
COT
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
COT
0 - 0
BRA
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
COT
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
PPE
64%
23%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |