Vila Nova vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ANA
2 - 1
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
MIN
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
VIL
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
CEA
2 - 1
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
HOR
5 - 3
CEA
40%
24%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CEA
1 - 1
HOR
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 5
CEA
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |