Vila Nova vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
VIL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
CAX
0 - 1
UNI
57%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
REC
1 - 1
CAX
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAX
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 3
CRB
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |