Vila Nova vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
VIL
4 - 0
AVA
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
VIL
0 - 1
JEC
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SER
4 - 1
VIL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
VIL
4 - 1
JMA
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
CAX
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
AVA
3 - 1
CAX
58%
22%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
CAX
2 - 1
FFL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
LON
2 - 1
CAX
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
CAX
2 - 1
JEC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |