Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
29.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
PPE
0 - 1
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
CUI
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
AMF
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CUI
2 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |