Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
3 - 0
CEA
32%
25%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRB
37%
25%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 2
ANA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPO
3 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 6
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
SAM
3 - 2
BOT
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |