Vila Nova vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
ARN
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
ICA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
BOT
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
AUT
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
CUI
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |