Vila Nova vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 3
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 5
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRA
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
BAH
2 - 2
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRA
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ATL
6 - 0
BAR
72%
19%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |