Vila Nova vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
FER
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 2
GOI
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 2
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
TUB
2 - 1
AVA
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRI
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |