Goiano 1 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 0
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
ITU
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
IPO
0 - 1
VIL
8%
14%
78%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
APA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
ANA
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
APA
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
0 - 0
APA
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
APA
2 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
APA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |