Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 2
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GAM
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 2
ATL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 3
APA
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 2
APA
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
APA
2 - 2
ANA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |