Vila Nova vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
ANA
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANA
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
2 - 1
GOI
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |