Vila Nova vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
DUQ
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
IFC
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ABC
3 - 0
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 3
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
ABC
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |