Vila Nova vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
COR
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
CRB
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 2
ABC
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 3
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |