Vila Nova vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
CRA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
1 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
ABC
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CRA
4 - 0
ABC
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
ABC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |