Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Vila Nova U23 vs Gremio U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
RBB
2 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
APP
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
APP
0 - 0
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 1
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 0
BRA
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
ECV
0 - 2
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
GRE
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
ECV
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |