Vila Nova U23 vs Gremio U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
AVA
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 1
COR
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
CEA
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 2
RBB
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 3
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |