Vila Meã vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
14º
5º
50
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 1
VIL
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
VPE
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
PED
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VIA
15%
19%
67%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
3 - 1
VIA
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 0
PED
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |