Vila Aurora vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
URO
1 - 1
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
URO
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
MIX
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 3
ARI
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
ARI
1 - 2
VIL
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |