Vila Aurora vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
URO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
SOR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MIX
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
MIX
57%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 0
REM
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |