Vila Aurora vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
VIL
25%
27%
49%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
5 - 1
NAU
77%
14%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
MIX
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
MIX
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |