Vila Aurora vs Mato Grosso EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
5 - 2
RON
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MGR
3 - 4
VIL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RON
2 - 3
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mato Grosso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
MGR
2 - 5
RON
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
RON
1 - 2
MGR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MGR
2 - 4
GRE
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 0
MGR
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MGR
3 - 4
VIL
22%
25%
53%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | -1 |