Vila Aurora vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
CUI
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
URO
2 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SIN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
RON
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 1
CEC
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CUI
0 - 0
LUV
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SIN
1 - 3
LUV
11%
17%
71%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 1
MIX
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 0
MGR
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |