Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Vila Aurora vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
URO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
SOR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MGR
0 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RON
2 - 2
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
4 - 4
LUV
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 1
MGR
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
RON
2 - 4
LUV
24%
23%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 3
LUV
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUV
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |