Vila Aurora vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CEC
2 - 0
VIL
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 2
MIX
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
STC
2 - 0
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 1
OPE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
LUV
2 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LUV
1 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
LUV
3 - 2
URO
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUV
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
LUV
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
LUV
2 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |