Vila Aurora vs Tangará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LUV
4 - 3
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
URO
0 - 0
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
JUV
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tangará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
TAN
0 - 0
STC
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
TAN
2 - 0
SJM
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SOR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
16%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
TAN
1 - 5
LUV
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
TAN
1 - 0
SOR
34%
23%
42%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +2 |