Vila Aurora vs CRAC MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MGR
3 - 4
VIL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RON
2 - 3
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
URO
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 0
MGR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
RON
3 - 1
CRA
55%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
49%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MGR
1 - 3
CRA
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |