Vila Aurora vs Cáceres EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CEC
1 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
RON
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
VIL
17%
24%
60%
|
53 | 10 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
AAC
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cáceres EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 3
BAR
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AAC
1 - 0
CAC
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 0
URO
16%
23%
62%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
VIL
17%
24%
60%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RON
3 - 1
CAC
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |