Vila Aurora vs Cacerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RON
1 - 1
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAC
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CEC
1 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cacerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
RON
4 - 1
CEC
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CEC
1 - 1
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
AAC
1 - 0
CEC
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CEC
1 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CEC
0 - 0
RON
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |