UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 4-2
Viktoria Plzeň vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VKP
2 - 1
PAR
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 2
VKP
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TEP
2 - 2
VKP
15%
23%
63%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
VKP
5 - 0
HJK
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 2
VKP
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 3
SHF
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 2
VKP
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZIM
1 - 1
SHF
13%
23%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SHF
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |