Viktoria Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
PRE
1 - 1
VIK
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VIK
0 - 3
VVV
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VIK
6 - 5
FSV
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
VIK
1 - 1
BSC
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
VIK
1 - 2
WIE
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 3
PAD
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BSV
2 - 2
PAD
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KSC
3 - 0
PAD
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
MAG
48%
23%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
S04
0 - 2
PAD
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |